Charles Gaba's blog

A couple of days ago I took a look at the letter sent by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to Democratic ranking committee members which broke out the ~16 million Americans expected to lose healthcare coverage via the #MAGAMurderBill passed by House Republicans, assuming they also fail to extend the IRA tax credits beyond the end of 2025.

There was a lot to unpack there, all of it pretty horrible...but I felt one provision in particular was worth its own separate post:

Funding Cost-Sharing Reductions.

Enacting section 44202 would affect the cost-sharing reductions that the ACA requires insurers to offer to eligible people who purchase silver plans through the marketplaces. Those reductions increase the actuarial value—the average share of covered medical expenses paid by the insurer—above the amount in other silver plans, resulting in lower out-of-pocket costs for eligible enrollees. To be eligible for cost-sharing reductions an enrollee’s income must generally fall between 100 percent and 250 percent of the FPL; the subsidy varies with income.

via the Maryland Health Benefit Exchange:

BALTIMORE (June 3, 2025) – The federal budget reconciliation bill passed by the House earlier this month will have significant consequences for the Affordable Care Act in Maryland, if it becomes law as is. For the nearly 250,000 Marylanders who buy health insurance through Maryland Health Connection this bill will increase premium costs, and create unnecessary, inefficient barriers to enrollment.

“For many of those enrolled in Maryland Health Connection, this proposed bill will drive up prices and increase the barriers to quality health insurance,” said Michele Eberle, executive director of Maryland Health Benefit Exchange. “Maryland Health Connection has increased enrollment by 40% in the last four years, because people who know how important health insurance is have found it affordable.”

Increases costs for enrollees

Via the Massachusetts Division of Insurance:

Merged Market Summary for Proposed Rates Effective for 2026

The following tables depict the proposed overall weighted average premium increase and the key assumptions behind premium development for the merged (individual and small employer) market filed by insurance carriers as part of the Massachusetts Division of Insurance rate review process (for rates effective in 2026). This information is subject to change as the rate review process continues.

The Health Care Access Bureau within the Massachusetts Division of Insurance is currently reviewing these assumptions. This review process will culminate in a final decision in August 2025.

There are 711,563 consumers enrolled in merged (individual/small group) market plans (data as of December 2024).

The Congressional Budget Office has published several projections about how many people would lose healthcare coverage and/or become uninsured (these aren't the same thing) under various versions of the #OneBigUglyBill Act passed by House Republicans, which is currently beginning its next phase over on the Senate side of the Capitol.

Their most recent projection put the total at around 11.7 million when you include some technical weirdness which I'm a little vague about...plus another 3.8 million if you include their projection from December 2024 regarding the impact of the upgraded ACA subsidies included in the Inflation Reduction Act being allowed to expire at the end of this year. This placed the grand total at around 15.5 million...except they more recently sent a letter to the House Energy & Commerce Committee which bumped this estimate up a bit more, putting the combined total at 15.9 million.

 

I joined Simon Rosenberg of Hopium Chronicles yesterday to discuss the House GOP budget bill (aka the #MAGAMassacreBill) and the Trump Regime's all-out assault on the U.S. healthcare system.

You can watch/listen to it here, on YouTube, Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

via the Oregon Division of Financial Regulation:

Oregonians continue to have at least five health insurance companies to choose from in every Oregon county as companies file 2026 health insurance rate requests for individual and small group markets

  • In-depth rate review process just beginning, opportunities for public review and input remain through June 20

June 2, 2025

Oregon health insurers have submitted proposed 2026 rates for individual and small group plans, launching a months-long review process that includes public input and meetings.

Five insurers will again offer plans statewide (Moda, Bridgespan, PacificSource, Providence, and Regence), and Kaiser is offering insurance in 11 counties, giving six options to choose from in various areas around the state. 

This just in via the Maryland Insurance Administration:

Health Carriers Propose Affordable Care Act Premium Rates for 2026

  • Anticipated loss of federal enhanced premium tax credits leads to highest individual market rate increases proposed since the start of Maryland’s reinsurance program

BALTIMORE – The Maryland Insurance Administration has received the 2026 proposed premium rates for Affordable Care Act products offered by health and dental carriers in the individual, non-Medigap and small group markets, which impact approximately 502,000 Marylanders.

via NY State of Health:

  • Republican-Passed Bill Would Gut New York’s Healthcare System 
  • Estimated Loss of $13.5 Billion Every Year, Devastating Our Healthcare System 
  • 1.5 Million New Yorkers To Lose Healthcare Coverage and Become Uninsured; Over $3 Billion in Losses for New York’s Hospitals

Governor Kathy Hochul today was joined by the Democratic Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives Congressman Hakeem Jeffries and leaders in the health care and labor sectors to sound the alarm on the detrimental effects of several healthcare provisions already passed by the House of Representatives in the Republican budget reconciliation bill. These provisions collectively amount to an annual loss of nearly $13.5 billion for New Yorkers and our healthcare sector, jeopardizing healthcare access for millions of New Yorkers and threatening the state’s hospitals and healthcare providers. 

“Republicans in Washington have made it abundantly clear that they are determined to dismantle the social safety net that millions of New Yorkers rely on to secure their basic necessities,” Governor Hochul said. “They are specifically targeting essential and life-saving programs such as Medicaid and food stamps with the consequence that everyday Americans will bear the brunt of this attack. I am committed to utilizing litigation and other appropriate tools to safeguard and protect New Yorkers.” 

Hot off the presses via the New York Dept. of Financial Services:

MVP Health Plan, Inc.

Generally, once a year MVP files for a change to the current premium rates on file for their products based on a review of the adequacy of the rate level. Premiums need to be sufficient to cover all medical and pharmacy claims submitted from covered members, cover the administrative cost of operations, Federal and New York State taxes/assessments levied and New York State statutory reserve requirements.

MVP is proposing a premium rate adjustment effective January 1, 2026. Policyholders will be charged the proposed premium rates upon renewal in 2026 pending New York State’s Department of Financial Services review. There are 13,062 policyholders and 19,125 members currently enrolled in Individual MVP Health Plan, Inc. plans. The proposed premium rate adjustment represents an average increase of 8.00%. Premium changes will vary by plan design.

Premium rates are changing due to the following reasons:

The Musk/Trump Regime has published an update to the official Medicaid/CHIP enrollment data:

January 2025 Key Findings

Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment

  • In January 2025, 78.8 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid and CHIP.
    • 71.4 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid, and 7.3 million individuals were enrolled in CHIP.
    • 41.4 million adults were enrolled in Medicaid, and there were 37.4 million Medicaid child and CHIP enrollees.

Medicaid and CHIP Applications Received

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